On April 17, 1957, Maurice Hilleman realized a pandemic was on its way to the United States. That day, on a large influenza outbreak in Hong Kong. One detail, in particular, caught the doctor鈥檚 eye: in the long waiting lines for clinics, the paper said 鈥渨omen carried glassy-eyed children tied to their backs.鈥 He quickly got to work, putting out the word that there was a pandemic coming and pushing to develop a vaccine by the time school started again in the fall.

The first case of the pandemic had appeared in the Guizhou Province of southwestern China in February 1957. By the time Hilleman read about it in April, the Times reported that an estimated 250,000 Hong Kong residents鈥攐r 10 percent of the region鈥檚 population鈥攚ere receiving treatment for it.

鈥淲e all missed it,鈥 he for . 鈥淭he military missed it, and the World Health Organization missed it.鈥

The day after reading the story, he sent a cable to an Army Medical General Laboratory in Zama, Japan, asking the staff to investigate what was going on in Hong Kong. A medical officer identified a member of the U.S. Navy who鈥檇 become infected in Hong Kong and sent the serviceman鈥檚 saliva back to Hilleman in the United States so he could study the virus.

The 1957 Virus Shifted

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Dr. Maurice Hilleman, pictured center, talking with his research team as they study the flu virus in a lab at Walter Reed Army Institute of Research in Silver Spring, Maryland, 1957.

As the chief of respiratory diseases at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research in Washington, D.C., Hilleman 鈥渉ad access to large numbers of serum obtained from people at various ages through previous years and decades,鈥 says pediatrician , who serves as director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Children鈥檚 Hospital of Philadelphia and is the author of .

In his work at Walter Reed, Hilleman had made the critical observation that the two key proteins in the flu virus鈥攈emagglutinin and neuraminidase鈥攗ndergo slight changes, or between seasons (this insight helped him predict ).

By comparing the Navy serviceman鈥檚 virus against previous flu viruses, 鈥渨hat he found was that there was this dramatic shift,鈥 Offit says. 鈥淏oth those proteins were completely different from what they had been previously. They hadn鈥檛 just drifted, they鈥檇 shifted.鈥 This new virus was a completely different strain of the flu.

Hilleman couldn鈥檛 find any evidence of population immunity to this new strain, so he sent the virus to other health organizations to confirm his findings. These organizations found that the only people who had antibodies to the virus were a small group in their 70s and 80s who had survived the 鈥淩ussian flu鈥 pandemic in 1889 and 1890.

With this knowledge, Hilleman put out press releases announcing a new flu pandemic had arrived and would reach the United States by September 1957. Though he met some resistance, he successfully convinced companies to begin working on flu vaccines to have ready by then. Fertilized chicken eggs would be necessary for this production, so he told the companies to remind farmers not to kill their roosters at the end of the hatching season.

Doctors and scientists first developed viable flu vaccines in the 1940s, so they were not starting from scratch when they went to work on the 1957 flu vaccine. Still, Hilleman bypassed regulatory agencies in his efforts to push the vaccine forward because he worried those agencies would slow the process down.

When Flu Hit the U.S., a Vaccine Was Ready

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Researchers study the flu virus in a lab at Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, 1957.

When the new flu strain hit the United States in September, just as Hilleman had predicted it would, the country was ready with a vaccine. The virus, dubbed the 鈥淎sian flu,鈥 killed an estimated 70,000 to 116,000 Americans and one to four million people worldwide, but experts suggest it would have killed many more if not for the vaccine. Around the time Hilleman was born, the 鈥淪panish flu鈥 of 1918 to 1919 675,000 Americans and 50 million people worldwide.

鈥淭hat鈥檚 the tricky thing about public health,鈥 says , chair of the division of medicine and science at the Smithsonian National Museum of American History in Washington, D.C.

鈥淲hen things go really, really well, it鈥檚 very hard to say, 鈥榯his many lives were saved,鈥 because we don鈥檛 know what would鈥檝e happened without it,鈥 she says. 鈥淎nd so while it鈥檚 impossible for us to say how many lives exactly were saved, I think it鈥檚 just good to say that he dramatically turned a pandemic around.鈥

Before his death in 2005, Hilleman helped develop , many of them for childhood diseases. For this work, experts have credited him with saving millions of lives. In 1988, the National Medal of Science for his contributions to public health.